Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000142 0.000159 0.000176 0.000197 0.000219 0.000244 0.000272
2025-08-24 0.000116 0.000138 0.000163 0.000193 0.000229 0.000270 0.000321
2025-08-31 0.000099 0.000124 0.000154 0.000192 0.000240 0.000298 0.000374
2025-09-07 0.000086 0.000113 0.000146 0.000192 0.000251 0.000326 0.000429
2025-09-14 0.000075 0.000103 0.000139 0.000190 0.000259 0.000351 0.000482
2025-09-21 0.000068 0.000097 0.000136 0.000192 0.000273 0.000383 0.000546
2025-09-28 0.000061 0.000091 0.000132 0.000193 0.000284 0.000412 0.000609
2025-10-05 0.000055 0.000084 0.000126 0.000192 0.000291 0.000436 0.000665
2025-10-12 0.000052 0.000081 0.000125 0.000196 0.000306 0.000473 0.000744
2025-10-19 0.000048 0.000077 0.000122 0.000196 0.000316 0.000501 0.000811
2025-10-26 0.000044 0.000073 0.000119 0.000196 0.000324 0.000527 0.000878
2025-11-02 0.000040 0.000069 0.000115 0.000194 0.000329 0.000549 0.000939
2025-11-09 0.000038 0.000066 0.000112 0.000195 0.000340 0.000583 0.001023
2025-11-16 0.000034 0.000062 0.000108 0.000193 0.000344 0.000604 0.001089
2025-11-23 0.000032 0.000058 0.000105 0.000192 0.000351 0.000632 0.001167
2025-11-30 0.000030 0.000056 0.000102 0.000192 0.000359 0.000662 0.001253
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000053 0.000099 0.000190 0.000365 0.000687 0.001331
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000051 0.000098 0.000192 0.000377 0.000726 0.001440
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000049 0.000097 0.000193 0.000388 0.000762 0.001544
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000047 0.000094 0.000192 0.000393 0.000788 0.001631
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000046 0.000094 0.000196 0.000410 0.000839 0.001773
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000044 0.000092 0.000197 0.000419 0.000874 0.001885
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000043 0.000090 0.000196 0.000426 0.000906 0.001993